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Writer's pictureRich Washburn

Is QAR OpenAI's Secret Weapon in the AGI Arms Race?


Is QAR OpenAI's Secret Weapon in the AGI Arms Race

The unfolding narrative around "QAR" (Quantum Artificial Reasoning) offers a glimpse into the future of artificial intelligence, specifically in the realm of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The recent buzz suggests that OpenAI might be on the cusp of a breakthrough, potentially predating the internal turmoil reported with Ilya Sutskever and Sam Altman. Altman's cryptic acknowledgment of QAR’s existence, alongside the speculative but insightful analysis of Nathan Lambert and the controversial leaks from figures like Jimmy Apples, has fueled a fascinating discourse.


QAR is hinted to be an advanced form of large language models (LLMs) capable of tasks like sophisticated math and long-term planning, which current LLMs struggle with. This capability hints at a shift from mere token prediction to a more holistic, strategic form of reasoning, akin to human cognitive processes. The speculative energy-based model (EBM) approach within QAR suggests a system that evaluates all possible solutions, emphasizing the path of least resistance – a significant deviation from the conventional LLM methodology.


The crux of the QAR concept lies in its purported ability for "look ahead planning" and "self-play," which could represent monumental strides towards AGI. This involves a model that can simulate and predict future states or actions, enhancing decision-making in a manner reminiscent of human foresight and strategic thinking.


Turning our gaze to the future, imagine a scenario where QAR-enabled AI systems manage complex urban infrastructure. In this near-future city, AI seamlessly coordinates everything from traffic and public transport to energy distribution and emergency services. Through look-ahead planning, the system anticipates and mitigates potential issues before they arise, while self-play mechanisms allow it to improve continuously by learning from simulated scenarios. This AI doesn’t just respond to the city's rhythm but proactively shapes it, ensuring efficiency, sustainability, and resilience against unforeseen events.


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